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30.11.2023 09:51 AMThe currency pair is trading in the red at 1.2690 at the time of writing. It moves sideways in the short term, that's why we have to wait for new trading opportunities. Technically, the price action signaled exhausted buyers, but a new leg down needs strong confirmation.
Fundamentally, the USD's current growth is natural after the US Prelim GDP and Prelim GDP Price Index came in better than expected yesterday. Today, the US Unemployment Claims could be reported higher at 219K above 209K in the previous reporting period, Core PCE Price Index should report a 0.2% growth, Chicago PMI could jump to 46.0 points, while Pending Home Sales is expected to report a 1.9% drop. Positive US data should boost the greenback which could dominate the currency market.
As you can see on the H1 chart, the rate is trapped between 1.2714 and 1.2672 levels. It has failed to take out the 1.2714 resistance indicating exhausted buyers.
Now, it has dropped below the uptrend line which represents a key dynamic support. The next downside obstacle is represented by 1.2672.
A bearish closure below 1.2672 activates more declines. This is seen as a selling signal.
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