empty
16.06.2022 03:25 PM
Technical analysis and forecast for USD/JPY on June 16, 2022

In today's two reviews of the author on the euro/dollar and the pound/dollar, the results of yesterday's events related to the Fed have already been summed up, so I don't see any point in repeating myself. However, before proceeding to the consideration of the daily price chart for the dollar/yen pair, let me remind you that yesterday's decision of the US Federal Reserve System (FRS) exceeded the expectations of most analysts. Let me remind you that the consensus forecast assumed that following the results of its June meeting, the Fed would raise the federal funds rate by 50 basis points, but the rate was raised by 75 bps. Looking at the market reaction that led to the US dollar sell-off, the only thing that has to be assumed is that the previous and very strong growth of the US currency, especially paired with the Japanese yen, provided for this scenario. And now pay attention to the daily price chart.

Daily

This image is no longer relevant

As a result of yesterday's decline, which occurred despite a more significant increase in the federal funds rate than expected, a reversal pattern of the "Bearish Absorption" candlestick analysis appeared on the USD/JPY daily chart. Let me remind you that this model consists of two candles, the last (red) of which absorbed the body of the previous bullish candle. As a result, at today's trading, the pair is trying to continue implementing the bearish scenario and is still trading with a slight decrease near the strong technical level of 133.00. As can be seen on the daily chart, the red Tenkan line of the Ichimoku indicator provides very significant support to the price. It is not for nothing that after trying to go down this line, the current daily candle already has a fairly significant lower shadow, that is, the quote bounces up from the Tenkan line. According to the Fibonacci tool grid, stretched for global growth of 114.67-135.60, it would be quite logical and technically competent to roll back to the first level of correction from this movement of 23.6 fibo. In addition, as can be seen on this chart, there is a previously broken and far from the weak resistance level of 131.32, and a little lower is the blue Kijun line of the Ichimoku indicator. All this taken together can provide USD/JPY with very strong support and reverse the course in the north direction again. Thus, I suggest not to rush right here and now, but to wait for the decline in the price zone of the expected strong support of 131.35-130.65 and plan purchases from here, that is, to open positions on the current and very strong upward trend. The confirmation signal for opening long positions on the dollar/yen pair will be the appearance of bullish reversal patterns of candle analysis on this or smaller time intervals that will appear in the selected price area. If the USD/JPY pair confidently returns to the previously broken resistance level of 131.32, it will be time to think about a trend change or at least a deeper corrective pullback.

Ivan Aleksandrov,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025

Recommended Stories

Trading Signals for GOLD for May 9-12, 2025: sell below $3,361 (21 SMA - 7/8 Murray)

On the other hand, if the bearish force prevails, gold is expected to continue falling and could again test the 6/8 Murray level, which could serve as a good point

Dimitrios Zappas 15:01 2025-05-09 UTC+2

Forecast for EUR/USD on May 9, 2025

On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair rebounded from the 76.4% Fibonacci corrective level at 1.1338, turned in favor of the U.S. dollar, and fell below the support zone of 1.1240–1.1265

Samir Klishi 11:24 2025-05-09 UTC+2

GBP/USD. May 9th. The Bank of England Didn't Support the Bulls

On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Thursday formed two bounces from the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.3344, turned in favor of the US dollar, and dropped

Samir Klishi 11:22 2025-05-09 UTC+2

Forex forecast 09/05/2025: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, Gold, Ethereum and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful

Sebastian Seliga 09:53 2025-05-09 UTC+2

Trading Signals for EUR/USD for May 8-12, 2025: buy above 1.1190 (200 EMA - 6/8 Murray)

Early in the European session, the EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.1224, above the 200 EMA, and below the 6/8 Murray, with a bearish bias. The euro is likely

Dimitrios Zappas 06:41 2025-05-09 UTC+2

EUR/USD Forecast for May 9, 2025

Yesterday's data from Germany exceeded expectations. Industrial production in March increased by 3.0%, compared to a forecast of 0.9% and a February decline of 1.3%. The March trade surplus amounted

Laurie Bailey 05:55 2025-05-09 UTC+2

GBP/USD Forecast for May 9, 2025

Yesterday, the Bank of England cut its interest rate by a quarter point, with only seven members of the Committee voting in favor of the decision, contrary to the consensus

Laurie Bailey 05:15 2025-05-09 UTC+2

EUR/GBP Forecast for May 9, 2025

The EUR/GBP pair is anticipated to reverse its downward trend and begin to rise. The wedge-shaped decline since April 11 clearly has a corrective structure, and this downward movement

Laurie Bailey 05:15 2025-05-09 UTC+2

Forecast for EUR/USD on May 8, 2025

On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair twice rebounded from the resistance zone of 1.1374–1.1383, reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar, and began a new decline toward the 100.0% corrective level

Samir Klishi 10:43 2025-05-08 UTC+2

Forex forecast 08/05/2025: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USDX, Gold and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful

Sebastian Seliga 10:37 2025-05-08 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaTrade anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.