17.04.2025 11:49 AM在唐納·川普發起的關稅戰未來走向不明朗的陰霾中，黃金價格持續受到支撐。
過去四個月，黃金價格幾乎呈直線上升。主要推動力是市場因政治緊張局勢加劇——特別是北京與華盛頓之間的對峙——而對全球經濟可能崩潰的憂慮正在增加。
從技術角度來看，黃金價格已被過度推高，一旦美國與中國達成貿易協議的消息出現，則可能隨時暴跌。儘管目前看不到這場對峙的明確終點，但考慮到北京的強硬立場、川普的策略調整以及經濟壓力的真實風險——尤其是在美國——我們有理由相信兩國之間最終會開始談判。
技術設置和交易思路：
價格位於布林帶的中線之上，但低於5期SMA，並且高於14期SMA。RSI在超買區中向下轉向。隨機指標已經離開超買區，並且正在積極下降，發出賣出信號。
我認為金價可能會下跌至3243.55，這可能是在持續的短期上升趨勢中出現的本地回調修正。一個潛在的進場點可以考慮在3309.00水平附近。
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