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04.04.2025 11:50 AM
XAU/USD。分析與預測
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連續第二天,金價吸引了一些賣家,儘管沒有明確的基本面催化劑導致下跌。最有可能的是,由於美國非農就業報告即將發布、以及美國美元因空頭回補而進行的修正行動所致。

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美國總統唐納德·特朗普最近宣布對進口產品徵收互惠關稅,這動搖了全球金融市場,加劇了對全球經濟潛在負面影響的擔憂。這增加了市場對美國聯邦儲備局將重新啟動降息周期的預期,從而支持了作為避險資產的黃金需求。

有趣的是,10年期美國國債收益率首次跌破4%,這阻止了美元的回升。同時,美國服務業活動數據顯示出放緩跡象,這進一步對美元施壓並支撐貴金屬。

從技術角度來看,黃金可能在靠近$3057區域找到支撐,該區域與4小時圖上的100期簡單移動平均線(SMA)對齊,是短期交易者的重要參考點。若跌破這一水平,可能觸發技術性拋售,讓金屬面臨更深的修正下行風險,接近中間支撐位$3035,並有可能進一步下探至心理價位$3000。

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另一方面,$3116附近的阻力區域將是多頭的關鍵。如果突破該區域,可能表明延續這一多月的上升趨勢,在此期間黃金達到了新的歷史高點——尤其是在日線圖上震盪指標已經擺脫超買狀態的現在。

為了獲得更多今日可行的交易機會,建議關注非農就業數據的發布,這可能對市場走向產生重大影響。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025
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