02.04.2025 04:49 AM昨日英國3月份製造業活動數據顯示，由46.9下降至44.9。相較於美國指數由52.7下降至50.2，英國指數的跌幅看來令人沮喪——特別是因為這是自2023年10月以來的最低數字。投資者將英鎊稍微拉低，但在一天結束時，英鎊回到了之前的水準，期待即將發布的「關稅公告」。
從媒體反映的情況來看，市場預期依然保持適度樂觀——也就是說，英國的關稅將比歐洲大陸更寬鬆。我們同意這一評估，並預期英鎊將從1.3001上升至1.3101。Marlin振盪指標已經進入負值區域，但似乎準備橫向穩定。
在 H4 圖表上，價格在平衡線附近掙扎。如要多頭加強其地位，價格必須保持在 MACD 線之上 —— 即 1.2933 之上。此時，目標位 1.3001 將變得可實現。Marlin 振盪器正試圖進入正值區域，並且接近實現 —— 這是主要情境。
若要發展空頭情境，價格需要跌破 1.2816/47 區間。這將打開通往 1.2714 目標的道路。
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