美元/日圓貨幣對下跌的時間比我們在每週預測中預期的更早,我們原本預計這次下跌會發生在日本央行會議臨近時。目前價格已經跌破156.04的支撐位。我們的下一個目標是154.74的MACD線,接下來是153.20和151.30。
然而,這種早期走勢使前景變得複雜。我們可能會看到從當前水準或MACD線發生回調,並且存在短期虛假突破至MACD線以下的可能性。Marlin振盪器進入下降趨勢區域,增加了持續下跌的可能性。
在 H4 圖表上,價格迅速跌破兩條指標線,並穩定在 156.04 水平以下。我們現在預期價格將達到日線圖上的 MACD 線 154.74。
截至週五,美元/加元匯率連續第二天承壓,這是由多種負面因素所引發的。 昨日,美國的宏觀經濟數據弱於預期,強化了市場對美聯儲進一步降息的預期,令美元多頭處於守勢。
在昨日相對平靜的市場中,儘管歐洲和美國發布了各種經濟數據,歐元依然上漲了13個點。至少,這確認了單一貨幣繼續上漲的意圖。
週五可能會標誌著連續第四天出現看跌(黑色)日K線。上次出現這種模式是在2月3日至6日。
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