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06.11.2024 06:40 AM
2024年6月11日歐元/美元熱點預測

在美國投票站仍保持開放時,美元逐漸失去優勢。看起來這是典型的反向波動,就在重大數據或新聞發布前發生。這種模式常見於市場,當大多數投資者預期某一特定事態發展時,價格往往在事情發生之前朝相反方向移動。當選票計算更新開始浮現時,歐元急劇下跌。當前數據顯示,Donald Trump獲得了210張選舉人票,而Kamala Harris則僅有113張。由於需要270張選舉人票才能勝出,目前作出定論還為時過早,因為一切都有可能改變,儘管Trump對Harris的領先似乎相當大。

此外,共和黨似乎有望在參議院和眾議院獲得多數席位。這將意味著一場絕對的共和黨勝利。從全球市場的角度來看,這一結果遠非理想之選,因為共和黨往往支持更嚴格的保護主義措施和更嚴的跨境資本流動控制。出於這個原因,美元開始迅速走強——全球市場中流通的大部分金融資本由美國機構投資者控制。Trump政府可能會實施一些政策,以提高特別是在美國經濟中的投資回報。然而,情況可能隨時發生變化,密切關注選票計算是必須的。

Dean Leo,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025
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