The AUD/USD pair turned to the downside after reaching 0.6676 today's high and now is located at 0.6633. It has resumed its growth in the last session as the Dollar Index dropped deeper. Now, after such an impressive growth, a retreat was natural.
Fundamentally, the Aussie is melting down as the Australian Consumer Price Index reported only a 4.9% growth versus 5.2% growth expected and compared to the 5.6% growth in the previous reporting period. The RBNZ maintained the Official Cash Rate at 5.50% as expected. Today, the US is to release the Prelim GDP, Prelim GDP Price Index, Goods Trade Balance, and Prelim Wholesale Inventories. Positive US data could help the USD to drag the price down.
Technically, the currency pair jumped above the up channel's upside line but it has failed to stay there, signaling exhausted buyers. The false breakout with great separation through the former high of 0.6666 announced a potential sell-off.
Now, it challenges the immediate low of 0.6633. It remains to see how it reacts. A false breakdown may announce a new bullish momentum at least towards the upside line.
A bearish closure below 0.6633 activates more declines. This is seen as a selling opportunity. The uptrend line represents a potential target.
價格在144.06的測試恰逢MACD指標剛剛開始從零線向下移動,確認了賣出美元的正確進場點。因此,該貨幣對迅速跌向目標水平143.39。
1.1396 價位的測試正好發生在 MACD 指標剛從零線向上運行的時候。這確認了買入歐元的正確進場點,導致超過 40 點的升幅。
價格在1.1395的測試與MACD指標相吻合,該指標已大幅從零點向下移動,限制了貨幣對的下跌潛力。基於此原因,我沒有賣出歐元。
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