The cost of oil is steadily rising to the highs of November 2018 on the wave of optimistic expectations of progress in the trade negotiations of the two largest world economies - the United States and China. On Thursday, Brent quotes rose to the level of $65.80 per barrel, quotes of North American WTI oil - to the level of $54.70 per barrel.
A new round of talks between the United States and China started today in Beijing. It is assumed that both countries will be able to reach an agreement on all trade issues within two weeks. Otherwise, on March 1, new reciprocal duties may come into force. However, the day before, US President Donald Trump noted that the date for the introduction of new tariffs could be delayed by 60 days if certain progress was noted in the negotiations.
Brent received additional support after the release of data from China: import data reflected a growth of 4.8% to 42.6 million tons (or 10.03 million barrels per day). Import growth has been recorded for the third consecutive month.
S&P 500 指數在開盤時呈上升走勢,但不久後轉跌,因官員澄清先前被推翻的關稅仍將維持,直至上訴程序結果出爐。這削弱了投資者早期的樂觀情緒。
市場對美國國際貿易法院的裁決作出反應,該裁決認為特朗普政府的關稅措施超出了其權力範圍。此決定為S&P 500帶來了新的不確定性,因為投資者正在評估關稅回撤的潛在影響。
S&P 500指數突破了關鍵的5,908點位,這標誌著近期修正的結束,並為進一步的上升打開了空間。若突破5,998的阻力位,將為漲勢提供額外的動力。
美國總統唐納德·特朗普宣布對歐盟進口商品徵收50%關稅,但金融市場的反應較為克制。投資者越來越多地採取“威脅與撤退”策略,看到大膽聲明(經常未能實現)後反而買入股票。
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