Surprisingly, the good news about the coronavirus vaccine is weighing on the US dollar. In general, after the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, the US dollar index lost 11%. And this month the American currency fell by 1.8%.
On Monday, it became known that the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine was successful by 94.5% in clinical trials. As a result, demand for the US dollar, the yen, and Treasury bonds fell.
Vaccine trials began on July 27, involving about 30,000 volunteers. The first interim analysis was based on 95 cases of infection. 90 cases of COVID-19 were observed in the placebo group and only five cases in the mRNA-1273 vaccine group.
Earlier, on November 9, BioNTech and Pfizer also announced the success of the COVID-19 vaccine clinical trial.
By the way, today more than 54 million people have been infected with coronavirus infection. More than 1.3 million died. The critical situation is observed in the USA, India and Brazil.
Apart from successful vaccinations, the Fed's soft monetary policy will negatively affect the US dollar. Analysts from Citigroup believe that other countries will recover faster from the crisis, and investors will move from American assets to international ones.
According to Citigroup, the US dollar has been struggling since 2001, when China joined the World Trade Organization. As a result, world trade began to develop headily. The US economy was left behind because its trade growth was much lower than the global one.
Now, if the vaccine becomes widespread and helps to restore global trade and economic expansion, the American currency will plummet by 20%, analysts say.
Experts also believe that the US dollar may depreciate by 36% against the euro within 2021.
Hedge fund rates against USD have hit their high in the past ten years. Most of the funds reported that this half of the year traders were betting on the US dollar collapse.
由於市場對華盛頓與北京貿易談判可能取得進展抱有樂觀情緒,美國股票指數正持續上升。投資者寄望最終達成協議,這可能緩解地緣政治緊張局勢,並為市場注入新的動力。
週二全球股市下跌,追蹤世界股票的 MSCI 指數出現下跌。主要原因是投資者對持續的美國貿易談判感到失望,並期待美聯儲的信號。
週一,標準普爾500指數滑落,結束了其20年來最為顯著的一輪漲幅。投資者在本週晚些時候關鍵的聯邦儲備會議前採取觀望態度。
美國股市指數,包括S&P 500和Nasdaq,均以穩健姿態結束了一週的交易,並處於正領域。這主要得益於中美貿易談判的鼓舞人心進展以及就業數據的韌性。
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